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More arrivals than expected through the Welsh Government’s super sponsor scheme and over optimism about how long those arriving would stay in their initial accommodation, led to higher costs.
In March 2022, the UK Government announced plans to allow those fleeing war in Ukraine to enter the UK. Following this announcement, Welsh Ministers decided that the Welsh Government would take responsibility for Ukrainians as a ‘Homes for Ukraine’ super-sponsor which meant people did not need to be matched with a host before receiving a visa.
In keeping the super sponsor scheme open until June 2022, the Welsh Government prioritised supporting the 1,000 arrivals it said it would during the initial phase of the emergency response. It did this despite the possibility of significantly more Ukrainians actually arriving, as happened.
By October 2023, the super sponsor scheme accounted for 3,232 – 45 per cent – of the 7,118 Ukrainian arrivals with a host in Wales or through the scheme.
The report finds that, overall, the Welsh Government and partners worked well together to help Ukrainians access mainstream public services, although there have been some issues around access to healthcare. A Contact Centre played a vital role to co-ordinate arrivals and provide advice.
Since the initial phase of the response, the Welsh Government and partners have strengthened their focus on supporting Ukrainians to move out of Welcome Centres and other initial accommodation. At the peak in October 2022, there were 32 sites open accommodating 1,840 people. By January 2024, that had fallen to 4 sites, accommodating 128 people. Just two sites are planned to remain open in 2024-25.
The Welsh Government initially estimated it would cost around £18 million to accommodate 1,000 Ukrainians in Welcome Centres. More arrivals and longer than expected stays in Welcome Centres and other initial accommodation, caused costs to rise overall and put added pressure on wider public services. The costs of accommodation varied significantly but auditors saw evidence of the Welsh Government seeking to secure value for money.
The Welsh Government spent £61 million on the Ukraine response during 2022-23, including accommodation and other costs. Taking account of UK Government funding, Audit Wales estimates the net cost to the Welsh Government was at least £29.2 million.
Lower accommodation costs mean the Welsh Government is expecting to spend £35.7 million or less in 2023-24, with the majority met from its own budget. The Welsh Government has budgeted £4.5 million for 2024-25, excluding homelessness support for local government. The longer-term position for Ukrainians depends on UK and international developments and decisions.
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Darllenwch ein hadroddiad cryno yn Gymraeg
I recognise the considerable efforts involved as Welsh public services and their partners have responded to accommodate and support people arriving from Ukraine. All this at a time when services have been dealing with the legacy of the pandemic and wider pressure on resources. The work will need to continue in the context of wider UK Government decision-making and the course of events in Ukraine. It is good to be able to reflect positively on the overall management of the response under the Welsh Government’s super sponsor scheme. Nonetheless, there are important lessons for the future, including around the Welsh Government's early assessment of the number of arrivals, the way they would be accommodated, and the costs arising from the response.